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Trump’s tariffs may derail €30bn splurge

MediaPLUS
/ 21st July 2025 /
Cormac Cahill

Spending of €30bn on infrastructure, including the Dublin Metrolink, over the next six years will be announced tomorrow – but sources say the plan depends on Donald Trump’s tariffs, writes John Drennan.

Details of the National Development Plan (NDP) are expected to reveal a plan of works that will see a major upgrade of roads, the water network and the power grid.

Jack Chambers, Minister for Public Expenditure and Reform, said yesterday the cash will focus on areas in need of urgent development.

The extra funding is possible following the sale of AIB shares and the €14bn Apple tax windfall.

He said: “It’s across three specific areas, namely water and wastewater infrastructure, the Metro project and also the necessity to provide investment in our grid.”

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Mr Chambers said the upgraded NDP “gives an opportunity for transformation and investment” in the economy over the next five to ten years.

Asked where the extra €10bn is coming from, the minister said it is “part of our medium-term economic planning”, adding that the Government is prioritising capital investment over the medium to long term.

He said an “additional uplift” is needed to address areas that “can’t wait any further”.

Speaking on RTÉ radio, Mr Chambers said the timeline of the Dublin MetroLink is dependent on the planning system.

Already, €35m of taxpayers’ money has been spent on metro consultancy fees.

The revised NDP comes as Uisce Éireann said it needs an additional €2bn, on top of €10.3bn already allocated for capital spending, and ESB Networks says it needs an extra €1bn as part of its €13.4bn spending plan.

It is understood there will also be extra funding for Eirgrid.

The NDP is expected to be agreed today by Taoiseach Micheál Martin, Tánaiste Simon Harris, junior transport minister Seán Canney, Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe, and Mr Chambers.

It will contain spending plans for housing, water, energy and transport.

The spike in spending is a final attempt to solve the housing crisis.

Spending allocations for departments such as Housing, Health, Transport and Education will be decided by the leaders.

Mr Martin and Mr Harris met to make final decisions on Saturday at 5pm, and negotiations are ongoing.

But concern is high that the Trump tariff proposals may scupper the plans.

One source said: “All eyes will still be on Trump when the new plan is launched. These plans are all conditional on Trump coming to a deal on tariffs.”

A minister warned: “He [Trump] really casts a long shadow. He negotiates in headlines.

“You might think you’ve a plan nailed down but if he has a bad Epstein morning, in the afternoon he could come out with a 30% tariff.

“We thought we had pharma locked away and then he puts it back on the table. He has a different plan for breakfast, dinner and tea.”

Another said: “Everything in the locker is being thrown at this. It is a once-in-a-generation opportunity.”

The Government will use the Summer Economic Statement and NDP to send a message about current and windfall oneoff expenditure.

tariffs
Minister for Public Expenditure Jack Chambers. (Pic: Leah Farrell/© RollingNews.ie)

One senior figure warned: “The message we need to send out now is when it comes to the budget, it will be ‘Brace yourself Bridget’ time.”

Another minister warned: “It is back to McCreevy economics: when we don’t have it we don’t spend.

“The age of €1m social houses is over. It was the apogee, the end of the cycle.”

A source added: “Paschal and Jack are in total control. We don’t want to repeat past Celtic Tiger errors when we cut back on infrastructure spending at the wrong time. The line is being laid down this week.

“We do not want a summer of leaks, particularly when there is nothing good to leak.”

Photo: President Donald Trump. (Photo by Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images)

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